Reading Signals

A guide to interpreting signal cards in Glint's feed and making informed trading decisions.

Anatomy of a Signal Card

Every signal card has these components, from top to bottom:

Header Row

  • Source avatar + name — Who posted the original content

  • Verification badge — Blue checkmark for Tier 1-2 sources

  • Impact badge — ⚡ Critical, 🔥 High, 📊 Medium, or Low

  • Category badge — Topic area (Politics, Economics, Crypto, etc.)

Signal Body

  • Text — The actual signal content. Breaking news is bolded.

  • Timestamp — Relative time (e.g., "2m ago")

Matched Market

  • Market question — The Polymarket contract

  • Relevance score — 0-10 match strength

  • Causation label — Likely Cause / Contextual / Background

  • YES/NO odds — Current Polymarket prices

  • TRADE button — Execute inline

Signal Priority Framework

Not all signals are equal. Here's how to prioritize:

Highest Priority (Act Fast)

  • ⚡ Critical impact + 9-10 relevance + "Likely Cause"

  • These are direct, breaking events that will almost certainly move the matched market

  • Example: Official announcement of a policy decision on a market that tracks that exact policy

High Priority (Evaluate Quickly)

  • 🔥 High impact + 7-8 relevance + "Likely Cause" or "Contextual"

  • Significant developments that likely affect the market but may need confirmation

  • Example: Credible journalist reporting an upcoming decision

Monitor

  • 📊 Medium impact + 5-6 relevance + "Contextual"

  • Worth knowing about, but not necessarily actionable immediately

  • Example: Background economic data that shifts the probability slightly

Low Priority

  • Low impact or relevance below 5

  • Background information, minor updates, or tangentially related signals

Common Pitfalls

  • Don't trade on every signal — Not every Critical signal creates a trading opportunity. The market may have already priced it in.

  • Check the source tier — A Tier 1 source (Reuters, AP) reporting something is very different from a Tier 3 unverified account.

  • Read the causation label — "Contextual" means the signal is related but not directly causal. The market may not move on it.

  • Watch for corrections — Breaking news sometimes gets corrected within minutes. Wait for confirmation on signals from lower-tier sources.

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