AI Market Matching

Every signal in Glint's feed is automatically matched to relevant Polymarket contracts. This is the core of what makes Glint different — compressing the gap between information and action.

How Matching Works

When a signal enters Glint's pipeline, the AI:

  1. Analyzes the signal's content, entities, and implications

  2. Searches active Polymarket contracts for relevance

  3. Scores the match from 0 to 10 based on how directly the signal affects the market outcome

  4. Labels the relationship as one of three causation types

  5. Attaches the match to the signal card with live odds

Relevance Score (0-10)

The relevance score tells you how strongly a signal relates to the matched market:

Score
Meaning

9-10

Direct, high-confidence match — signal is about this exact market

7-8

Strong match — signal clearly impacts this market outcome

5-6

Moderate match — related but not directly causal

3-4

Weak match — tangentially related

1-2

Minimal relevance — included for context only

Signals below a relevance threshold are filtered out to reduce noise.

Causation Labels

Each match gets a causation label explaining the relationship:

  • Likely Cause — This signal could directly cause the market to move. Example: "EU announces oil embargo" → "Will EU ban Russian oil by Q2?"

  • Contextual — This signal provides important context but isn't the sole driver. Example: "Fed official hints at rate cut" → "Fed rate cut at July FOMC?"

  • Background — General background information that's related to the market topic. Lower urgency.

Matched Market Card

When a signal has a match, you'll see a market card below the signal text showing:

  • Market question — The Polymarket contract (e.g., "Will EU ban Russian oil by Q2 2026?")

  • YES / NO odds — Current prices in cents (e.g., YES 78¢ / NO 22¢)

  • Relevance score — How strong the match is

  • Causation label — The relationship type

  • TRADE button — Execute a position directly

Edge Detection

The real value is speed. When a Critical signal drops with a 9+ relevance score and a "Likely Cause" label, the market often hasn't repriced yet. That window — usually seconds to minutes — is the edge Glint gives you.

Limitations

  • Matching is AI-driven and not perfect. Always do your own research before trading.

  • Some signals may match to multiple markets — Glint shows the highest-relevance match.

  • New or niche Polymarket contracts may take time to appear in the matching pool.

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